中国气象局--气候研究开放实验室

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中国气象局--气候研究开放实验室


	人员资料专栏

任宏利

任宏利 辽宁铁岭人，理学博士，研究员，博士研究生导师，国家气候中心首席8级、科技领军人才，入选中组部“万人计划”青年拔尖人才，中国气象局气候研究开放实验室副主任。2001年和2006年从兰州大学气象学专业获得学士和博士学位，2008—2013年在美国夏威夷大学进行博士后研究。曾获全国优秀博士学位论文奖、中国气象学会气象科技进步二等奖（排名第1）、涂长望青年气象科技奖、十佳全国优秀青年气象科技工作者等。主持国家重点研发计划项目1项、国家自然科学基金多项。一直致力于次季节-年际气候异常机理和预测方法研究，揭示出影响我国气候异常的厄尔尼诺等外部关键因子的新特征及新机制，发展了短期气候预测中数值模式-统计规律相结合的动力相似预报新理论和新方法；建立了国家级ENSO、MJO、中高纬大气遥相关型、海冰积雪、东亚重要环流型、热带气旋、大气污染潜势等预测业务系统以及中国多模式集合预测（CMME）业务系统。已发表文章150余篇，其中SCI/EI收录近百篇(第一或通讯作者SCI论文60余篇)
专　业：气象学；主要研究方向：厄尔尼诺（ENSO）、大气季节内振荡、气候动力学、气候预测
电子邮件：renhl@cma.gov.cn
学习及工作经历：
1997～2001年，兰州大学大气科学系气象学专业，获理学学士学位
2001～2006年，兰州大学大气科学学院气象学专业，硕博连读获理学博士学位（博士论文题目：动力相似预报的策略和方法，导师：丑纪范院士）
 2006.5～2008.5，国家气候中心气候研究开放实验室，助研
 2008.5～2012.9，国家气候中心气候预测室，助研、副研
 2008.4～2013.4，美国夏威夷大学气象系，访问学者、博士后（合作者：金飞飞教授）
 2012.9～2014.6，国家气候中心气候研究开放实验室，副研
 2014.1，美国夏威夷大学气象系，访问学者
 2014.3至今，国家气候中心气候研究开放实验室，副主任
 2014.6至今，国家气候中心气候研究开放实验室，研究员
 2015.5～2015.7，英国气象局Hadley中心，访问学者
 2016.5～2016.6，美国George Mason大学COLA，访问学者

主持和参加科研项目情况

1. 主持国家自然科学基金面上项目“两类ENSO的动力学定量诊断及与年循环相互作用机制研究”（编号：41975094，2020－2023年）
2. 主持中组部国家高层次人才特殊支持计划（万人计划）青年拔尖人才项目（2019-2022）
3. 主持国家重点研发计划“重大自然灾害监测预警与防范”专项“东亚季风气候年际预测理论与方法研究”项目（编号：2018YFC1506000，2018.12－2021.11）
4. 主持国家自然科学基金面上项目“两类ENSO的动力学定量诊断及与年循环相互作用机制研究”（编号：41975094，2020－2023年）
5. 主持国家重点研发计划“重大自然灾害监测预警与防范”专项“东亚季风气候年际预测理论与方法研究”项目之第四课题“面向东亚气候年际预测的动力模式改进和同化方法研究”（编号：2018YFC1506004，2018.12－2021.11）
6. 主持国家自然科学基金面上项目“热带外大气季节内振荡与天气涡旋的双向反馈机制研究”（编号：41775066，2018－2021年）
7. 主持中国气象局气象预报业务关键技术发展项目“发展月季年客观预测关键技术”（编号：YBGJXM（2017）05，2017－2020年）
8. 联合主持公益性行业(气象)科研专项重点项目“两类ENSO的监测、分析和预测关键技术研究”（编号：GYHY201506013，2015－2017年）
9. 主持公益性行业(气象)科研专项重点项目“季节内低频变化与我国10-30天强降水/降温过程预测方法研究”（编号：GYHY201406022，2014－2016年）
10. 主持国家自然科学基金面上项目“中高纬冬季大气低频流与天气涡旋相互作用的运动学机制研究”（编号：41375062，2014－2017年）
11.主持气象关键技术集成与应用项目“充电振子机制与模式信息发掘技术在ENSO预测业务中的集成应用”（编号：CMAGJ2014M64，2014－2015年）
12.主持国家自然科学基金青年基金项目“基于模式预报误差时空特征及其影响因子的我国汛期气候预测方法”（编号：40805028，2009－2011年）

获奖情况：

    2006年10月，获中国气象学会颁发的“中国气象学会2006年年会优秀论文奖”
    2007年1月，获中国科学院大气物理研究所颁发的“第六届大气物理研究所‘学笃风正’全国青年大气科学研讨会优秀论文奖”
    2007年9月，获北京大学谢义炳奖励基金会颁发的“2007年度谢义炳青年气象科技奖三等奖”
    2007年11月，获中国气象学会颁发的“中国气象学会2007年年会优秀论文奖”
    2008年5月，获国家教育部颁发的“全国优秀博士学位论文奖”
    2009年10月，获中国气象学会颁发的2008-2009年度“涂长望青年气象科技奖”二等奖
    2012年12月，获2012年度“清华大学—浪潮集团计算地球科学青年人才奖”
    2014年5月，入选中国气象局首批“气象部门青年英才”计划
    2014年6月，获评“2014年北京气象学会中青年气象科技优秀论文二等奖”
    2015年5月，获评2013-2014年度“中国气象局直属机关优秀青年”
    2015年12月，获评北京市科学技术协会“第十三届北京青年优秀科技论文评选一等奖”
    2018年10月，获中国气象学会颁发的“气象科学技术进步成果奖”二等奖（排名第1）
    2018年11月，入选国家气候中心首批“科技领军人才”
    2018年12月，获中国气象学会第九届“全国优秀青年气象科技工作者”称号
    2018年12月，获中国气象学会第九届“十佳全国优秀青年气象科技工作者”称号
    2019年2月，入选中组部第四批国家高层次人才特殊支持计划（万人计划）青年拔尖人才

期刊发表论文：
1. Ren, Fumin, Chenchen Ding, Da-Lin Zhang, Deliang Chen, Hong-Li Ren, Wenyu Qiu. 2020: A dynamical-statistical-analog ensemble forecast model: theory and an application to heavy rainfall forecasts of landfalling tropical cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, accepted.
2. Zhao, Shuo, Hong-Li Ren*, Fang, Zhou. 2020: Role of eddy-heat feedback in modulating the winter-mean NAO-related thermodynamic structure. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, revised.
3. Ren, Hong-Li*, Yu Huang, Robin Chadwick, Yi Deng. 2020: Decomposing East-Asian winter temperature and monsoonal circulation changes using timeslice experiments. Climate Dynamics, 53(3–4), 2147–2160. doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-05114-3.
4. Zhao, Sen, Malte F. Stuecker*, Fei-Fei Jin, Juan Feng, Hongli Ren, Wenjun Zhang and Jianping Li. 2020: Improved predictability of the Indian Ocean dipole using a stochastic-dynamical model compared to the North American multi-model ensemble forecast. Weather and Forecasting, accepted.
5. 刘颖，任宏利*，基于BCC_CSM1.1m的中国夏季降水组合统计降尺度模型. 气候与环境研究，2020，doi:10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2019.18168.
6. Wu, Jie, Hong-Li Ren*, Bo Lu, Peiqun Zhang, Chongbo Zhao, and Xiangwen Liu. 2020: Effects of moisture initialization on MJO and its teleconnection prediction in BCC subseasonal coupled model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123, 4423-4442. doi: 10.1029/2019JD031537.
7. Zhou, Fang, Hong-Li Ren*, Zeng-Zhen Hu, Ming-Hong Liu, Jie Wu, and Chang-Zheng Liu. 2020: Seasonal predictability of primary East-Asian summer circulation patterns by three operational climate prediction models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145(720), 1089–1101. doi: 10.1002/qj.3697.
8. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei Zheng, Jing-Jia Luo, Run Wang, Minghong Liu, Wenjun Zhang, Tianjun Zhou, Guangqing Zhou, 2020: A review of research on tropical air–sea interaction, ENSO dynamics and prediction in China. Journal of Meteorological Research, 34, doi: 10.1007/s13351-020-9155-1. (in press)
9. Wei, Yuntao, Hong-Li Ren*, Mu Mu*, and Joshua-Xiouhua Fu, 2020: Nonlinear optimal moisture perturbations as excitation of primary MJO events in a hybrid coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics, 54(1), 675-699. doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-05021-7.
10. 梁健, 任宏利*, 陈权亮. 太阳总辐照度对热带中太平洋海表温度年代际变化的可能影响. 成都信息工程大学学报. 2019，34(5)：525-531. doi:10.16836/j.cnki.jcuit.2019.05.014.
11. Nie, Yu, Yang Zhang*, Xiu-Qun Yang, Hong-Li Ren. 2019: Winter and summer Rossby wave sources in the CMIP5 models. Earth and Space Science, 6, 1831. doi:10.1029/2019EA000674.
12. Lockwood, Julia*, Hazel E. Thornton, Nick Dunstone, Adam A. Scaife, Philip E. Bett, Chaofan Li, Hong-Li Ren, 2019: Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China. Climate Dynamics, 53(7–8), 3937–3955. doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04763-8.
13. Nie, Yu, Hong-Li Ren*, Yang Zhang. 2019: The role of extratropical air-sea interaction in the autumn subseasonal variability of North Atlantic Oscillation. Journal of Climate, 32(22), 7697-7712. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0060.1.
14. Wei, Yuntao, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2019: Modulation of ENSO on fast and slow MJO modes during boreal winter. Journal of Climate, 32(21), 7483-7506. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0013.1.
15. Lian, Tao*, Jun Ying, Hong-Li Ren, Chan Zhang, Ting Liu, and Xiao-Xiao Tan. 2019: Effects of tropical cyclones on ENSO. Journal of Climate, 32(19), 6423–6443. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0821.1.
16. Ren, Pengfei, Li Gao*, Hong-Li Ren, Xinyao Rong, and Jian Li, 2019: Representations of the Madden–Julian Oscillation in CAMS-CSM. J. Meteor. Res., 33(4), 627–650, doi: 10.1007/s13351-019-8118-x.
17. Scaife, Adam A.*, Joanne Camp, Ruth Comer, Philip Davis, Nick Dunstone, Margaret Gordon, Craig MacLachlan, Nicola Martin, Yu Nie, Hong-Li Ren, Malcolm Roberts, Walter Robinson, Doug Smith, and Pier Luigi Vidale. 2019: Does increased atmospheric resolution improve seasonal climate predictions? Atmospheric Science Letters, 20: e922. doi: 10.1002/asl.922.
18. Tian, Ben, Hong-Li Ren*, Fei-Fei Jin, and Malte F. Stuecker. 2019: Diagnosing the representation and causes of the ENSO persistence barrier in CMIP5 simulations. Climate Dynamics, 53(3–4), 2147–2160. doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04810-4.
19. Ren, Hong-Li*, Yujie Wu, Qing Bao, Jiehua Ma, Qiaoping Li, Jianghua Wan, Changzheng Liu, Xiaofei Wu, Ying Liu, Ben Tian, Joshua-Xiouhua Fu, and Jianqi Sun, 2019: China multi-model ensemble prediction system version 1.0 (CMMEv1.0) and its application to flood-season prediction in 2018. Journal of Meteorological Research, 33(3), 542–554. doi:10.1007/s13351-019-8154-6.
20. Nie, Yu*, Adam A. Scaife, Hong-Li Ren, Ruth E. Comer, Martin B. Andrews, Philip Davis, Nicola Martin, 2019: Stratospheric initial conditions provide seasonal predictability of the North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillations. Environmental Research Letters, 14(3), 034006. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab0385.
21. 郑嘉雯，高丽*，任宏利，陈权亮，蔡宏珂. 基于T639集合预报的我国2016年极端温度预报检验. 气象，2019，45(4):469-482. doi: 10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2019.04.003.
22. Ren, Hong-Li, Jinqing Zuo*, and Yi Deng, 2019: Statistical predictability of Niño indices for two types of ENSO. Climate Dynamics, 52(9–10), 5361–5382. doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4453-3.
23. Huang, Kai, Hong-Li Ren*, Xiangwen Liu, Pengfei Ren, Yuntao Wei, Mu Mu, 2019: Parameter modulation of Madden-Julian Oscillation behaviors in BCC_CSM1.2: The key Role of moisture-convection feedback. Atmosphere, 10(5), 241. doi:10.3390/atmos10050241.
24. Zhao, Chongbo, Hong-Li Ren*, Rosemary Eade, Yujie Wu, Jie Wu, and Craig MacLachlan, 2019: MJO modulation and its ability to predict boreal summer tropical cyclone genesis over the northwest Pacific in Met Office Hadley Centre and Beijing Climate Center seasonal prediction systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145(720), 1089–1101. doi: 10.1002/qj.3478.
25. Hao, Xiaozhen, Hong-Li Ren*, Wenjun Zhang*, Minghong Liu, and Yuntao Wei, 2019: Diagnosing the spatiotemporal diversity of westerly wind events in the tropical Pacific. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Ocean, 86, 90-103. Doi: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2019.03.004
26. Ren, Hong-Li*, Adam A. Scaife, Nick Dunstone, Ben Tian, Ying Liu, Sarah Ineson, June-Yi Lee, Doug Smith, Changzheng Liu, Vikki Thompson, Michael Vellinga, and Craig MacLachlan, 2019: Seasonal predictability of winter ENSO types in operational dynamical model predictions. Climate Dynamics, 52(7-8), 3869–3890. doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4366-1.
27. Thompson, Vikki, Nick J. Dunstone*, Adam A. Scaife, Doug M. Smith, Steven C. Hardiman, Hong-Li Ren, Bo Lu, Stephen E. Belcher, 2019: Risk and dynamics of unprecedented hot months in South East China. Climate Dynamics, 52(5–6), 2585–2596. doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4281-5.
28. Wei, Yuntao, Mu Mu*, Hong-Li Ren*, and Joshua-Xiouhua Fu, 2019: Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations of moisture triggering primary MJO initiation. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 3492-3501. doi: 10.1029/2018GL081755.
29. Liu, Jingpeng, Hong-Li Ren*, Weijing Li, and Jinqing Zuo. 2019: Diagnosing the leading mode of interdecadal covariability between the Indian Ocean sea surface temperature and summer precipitation in southern China. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 135(3–4), 1295–1306. doi: 10.1007/s00704-018-2430-8.
30. Scaife, Adam A.*, Laura Ferranti, Oscar Alves, Panos Athanasiadis, Johanna Baehr, Michel Déqué, Tina Dippe, Nick Dunstone, David Fereday, Richard G. Gudgel, Richard J. Greatbatch, Leon Hermanson, Yukiko Imada, Shipra Jain, Arun Kumar, Craig MacLachlan, William Merryfield, Wolfgang A. Müller, Hong-Li Ren, Doug Smith, Yuhei Takaya, Gabriel Vecchi and Xiaosong Yang, 2019: Tropical rainfall predictions from multiple seasonal forecast systems. International Journal of Climatology, 39(2), 974–988. doi: 10.1002/joc.5855.
31. 高丽，任宏利*，郑嘉雯，陈权亮. 基于NCEP-GEFS回算资料的我国极端温度变化特征研究. 大气科学学报，2019，42(1)：58-67. doi:10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20180911001.
32. Lu, Bo, and Hong-Li Ren*, 2019: ENSO features, dynamics, and teleconnections to East Asian climate as simulated in CAMS-CSM. J. Meteor. Res., 33(1), 46–65, doi: 10.1007/s13351-019-8101-6.
33. Ren, Hong-Li*, Bo Lu, Jianghua Wan, Ben Tian, and Peiqun Zhang, 2018: Identification standard for ENSO events and its application to climate monitoring and prediction. J. Meteor. Res., 32(6), 923–936, doi: 10.1007/s13351-018-8078-6.
34.Tang, Youmin*, Rong-Hua Zhang, Ting Liu*, Wansuo Duan, Dejian Yan, Fei Zheng, Hongli Ren, Tao Lian, Chuan Gao, Dake Chen, Mu Mu, 2018: Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study. National Science Review, 5: 826–839. doi: 10.1093/nsr/nwy105.
35. Liu, Ying, Hong-Li Ren*, Adam A. Scaife, and Chaofan Li, 2018: Evaluation and statistical downscaling of East Asian summer monsoon forecasting in BCC and MOHC seasonal prediction systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144(717), 2798–2811. doi: 10.1002/qj.3405.
36. 吴捷，任宏利*，许小峰，高丽. 2018. MJO对我国降水影响的季节调制和动力-统计降尺度预测. 气象，2018，44(6)：737-751. Doi: 10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2018.06.002.
37. Fu, Joshua-Xiouhua*, Wanqiu Wang, Hong-Li Ren, Xiaolong Jia, and Toshiaki Shinoda, 2018: Three different downstream fates of the boreal-summer MJOs on their passages over the Maritime Continent. Climate Dynamics, 51(5-6), 1841–1862. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3985-2.
38. Ineson, Sarah*, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Michael K. Davey, Damien Decremer, Nick J. Dunstone, Margaret Gordon, Hong-Li Ren, Adam A. Scaife, and Antje Weisheimer, 2018: Predicting El Niño in 2014 and 2015, Scientific Reports, 8, 10733. Doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-29130-1.
39. 刘明竑，任宏利，张文君*，任鹏飞. 超强厄尔尼诺事件对中国东部春夏季极端降水频率的影响. 气象学报，2018，76(4)：539-553. doi: 10.11676/qxxb2018.021.
40. Ren, Pengfei, Hong-Li Ren*, Joshua-Xiouhua Fu, Jie Wu, and Liangmin Du, 2018: Impact of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation on rainfall extremes in southeastern China and its predictability in CFSv2. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123, 4423-4442. doi:10.1029/2017JD028043.
41. Fu, Joshua-Xiouhua*, Wanqiu Wang, Yuejian Zhu, Hong-Li Ren, Xiaolong Jia, and Toshiaki Shinoda, 2018: Impacts of different cumulus schemes on the pathways through which SST feedbacks to the Madden-Julian Oscillation. Journal of Climate, 31(14), 5559-5579. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0432.1.
42. 李维京*，刘景鹏，任宏利，左金清. 中国南方夏季降水的年代际变率主模态特征及机理研究. 大气科学，2018，42(4)：859−876. doi:10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1802.17283.
43. Lu, Bo, Hong-Li Ren*, Adam Scaife, Jie Wu, Nick Dunstone, Doug Smith, Jianghua Wan, Rosemary Eade, Craig MacLachlan, Margaret Gordon, 2018: An extreme negative Indian Ocean Dipole event in 2016: dynamics and predictability. Climate Dynamics, 51(1-2), 89-100. doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3908-2.
44. Hermanson, Leon*, Hong-Li Ren, M. Vellinga, N. D. Dunstone, P. Hyder, S. Ineson, A. A. Scaife, D. M. Smith, V. Thompson, B. Tian, K. D. Williams, 2018: Different types of drifts in two seasonal forecast systems and their dependence on ENSO. Climate Dynamics, 51(4), 1411–1426. doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3962-9.
45. Li, Weijing, Hong-Chang Ren*, Jinqing Zuo, and Hong-Li Ren, 2018: Early summer southern China rainfall variability and its oceanic drivers. Climate Dynamics, 50(11-12) 4691–4705. doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3898-0.
46. Wan, Jianghua, Hongli Ren*, and Peili Wu. 2018: Representation of the ENSO combination mode and its asymmetric SST response in different resolutions of HadGEM3. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(8), 1063–1076. doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7285-5.
47. Lu, Bo, Hong-Li Ren*, Rosemary Eade, and Martin Andrews. 2018: Indian Ocean SST modes and their impacts as simulated in BCC-CSM1.1m and HadGEM3. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(8), 1035–1048. doi: 10.1007/s00376-018-7279-3.
48. Bett, Philip E.*, Adam A. Scaife, Chaofan Li, Chris Hewitt, Nicola Golding, Peiqun Zhang, Nick Dunstone, Doug M. Smith, Hazel E. Thornton, Riyu Lu, Hong-Li Ren. 2018: Seasonal Forecasts of the Summer 2016 Yangtze River Basin Rainfall. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 35(8), 918-926. doi:10.1007/s00376-018-7210-y.
49. Liu, Jingpeng, Hong-Li Ren*, Weijing Li, and Jinqing Zuo. 2018: Remarkable impacts of Indian Ocean sea surface temperature on interdecadal variability of summer rainfall in Southwestern China. Atmosphere, 9(3), 103. doi:10.3390/atmos9030103.
50. Timmermann, Axel*, Soon-Il An, Jong-Seong Kug, Fei-Fei Jin, Wenju Cai, Antonietta Capotondi, Kim Cobb, Matthieu Lengaigne, Michael J. McPhaden, Malte F. Stuecker, Karl Stein, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Kyung-Sook Yun, Tobias Bayr, Han-Ching Chen, Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, Boris Dewitte, Dietmar Dommenget, Pamela Grothe, Eric Guilyardi, Yoo-Geun Ham, Michiya Hayashi, Sarah Ineson, Daehyun Kang, Sunyong Kim, WonMoo Kim, June-Yi Lee, Tim Li, Jing-Jia Luo, Shayne McGregor, Yann Planton, Scott Power, Harun Rashid, Hong-Li Ren, Agus Santoso, Ken Takahashi, Alexander Todd, Guomin Wang, Guojian Wang, Ruihuang Xie, Woo-Hyun Yang, Sang-Wook Yeh, Jinho Yoon, Elke Zeller, and Xuebin Zhang, 2018: El Niño-Southern Oscillation Complexity, Nature, 559, 535-545. doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0252-6.
51. Li, Chengcheng, Hong-Li Ren*, Fang Zhou, Shuanglin Li, Joshua-Xiouhua Fu, and Guoping Li. 2018: Multi-pentad prediction of precipitation variability over Southeast Asia during boreal summer using BCC_CSM1.2. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 82, 20-36. doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2018.02.002.
52. Ferrett, Samantha*, Matthew Collins, and Hong-Li Ren, 2018: Diagnosing relationships between mean state biases and El Niño shortwave feedback in CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 31(2), 1315-1335. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0331.1.
53. Hardiman, Steven, Nick Dunstone, Adam Scaife, Philip E Bett, Chaofan Li, Bo Lu, Hong-Li Ren, Doug Smith, and Claudia C Stephan. 2018: The asymmetric response of Yangtze river basin summer rainfall to El Niño/La Niña, Environmental Research Letters, 13, 024015. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaa172.
54. Lu, Bo, Fei-Fei Jin*, and Hong-Li Ren, 2018: A coupled dynamic index for ENSO periodicity. Journal of Climate, 31(6), 2361-2376. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0466.1.
55. Wei, Yuntao, Fei Liu*, Mu Mu, and Hong-Li Ren, 2018: Planetary scale selection of the Madden–Julian Oscillation in an air-sea coupled dynamic moisture model. Climate Dynamics, 50(9–10), 3441–3456. doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3816-5.
56. Huang, Yu, Hong-Li Ren*, Robin Chadwick, Zhigang Cheng, Quanliang Chen, 2018: Diagnosing changes of winter NAO in response to different climate forcings in a set of atmosphere-only timeslice experiments. Atmosphere, 9(1), 10. doi:10.3390/atmos9010010.
57. 吴捷，任宏利*，张帅，刘颖，刘向文. BCC二代气候系统模式的季节预测评估和可预报性分析. 大气科学，2017，41(6)：1300-1315. doi:10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1703.16256.
58. Fu, Joshua-Xiouhua*, Wanqiu Wang, Toshiaki Shinoda, Hong-Li Ren, and Xiaolong Jia, 2017: Towards understanding the diverse impacts of air-sea interactions on MJO simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 122(11), 8855–8875. doi: 10.1002/2017JC013187.
59. Liu, Ying, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2017: Improving ENSO prediction in CFSv2 with an analogue-based correction method, International Journal of Climatology, 37(15), 5035–5046. doi: 10.1002/joc.5142.
60. Tan, Gui-Rong*, Hong-Li Ren, Haishan Chen, and Qinglong You. 2017: Detecting primary precursors of January surface air temperature anomalies in China. Journal of Meteorological Research, 31(6), 1096-1108. doi: 10.1007/s13351-017-7013-6.
61. Zhou, Fang, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2017: Dynamical feedback between synoptic eddy and low-frequency flow as simulated by BCC_CSM1.1(m), Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 34(11), 1316–1332, doi: 10.1007/s00376-017-6318-9.
62. Mu, Mu*, and Hong-Li Ren, 2017. Enlightenment from researches and predictions of 2014-2016 super El Niño event. Science China Earth Sciences, 60(9), 1569–1571, doi: 10.1007/s11430-017-9094-5. 穆穆*，任宏利. 2014~2016 年超强厄尔尼诺事件研究及其预测给予我们的启示. 2017，中国科学：地球科学，47(9)：993-995. doi: 10.1360/N072017-00245.
63. Ren, Hong-Li *, and Pengfei Ren, 2017: Impact of Madden-Julian Oscillation on winter extreme rainfall in the southern China: observations and predictability in CFSv2. Atmosphere, 8(10), 192. doi:10.3390/atmos8100192.
64. 李景鑫，任宏利*，陆波，刘景鹏，康延臻. 北大西洋涛动和南半球环状模不同位相配置对我国南方夏季降水的协同影响. 地球物理学报，2017，60(10)：3730-3744. doi: 10.6038/cjg20171004.
65. Ferrett, Samantha*, Matthew Collins, and Hong-Li Ren, 2017: Understanding bias in the evaporative damping of El Niño Southern Oscillation events in CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 30(16), 6351-6370. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-557 0748.1.
66. Lu, Bo*, Adam Scaife, Nick Dunstone, Doug Smith, Hong-Li Ren, Ying Liu, Rosemary Eade, 2017: Skillful seasonal predictions of winter precipitation over southern China. Environmental Research Letters, 12, 074021. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa739a.
67. 史珩瑜，张祖强*，任宏利. 近百年来ENSO强度的变化特征. 气候变化研究进展，2017，13(1)：1-10. doi:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2016.117.
68. Hardiman, Steven C., Pu Lin, Adam A. Scaife, Nick J. Dunstone, and Hong-Li Ren, 2017: The influence of dynamical variability on the observed Brewer--Dobson Circulation trend. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(6), 2885–2892. doi:10.1002/2017GL072706.
69. Zhou, Fang, Hong-Li Ren*, Xiaofeng Xu, and You Zhou. 2017: Understanding positive feedback between PNA and synoptic eddies by eddy structure decomposition method, Climate Dynamics, 48(11), 3813-3827. doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3304-3.
70. Liu, Xiangwen, Tongwen Wu*, Song Yang, Tim Li, Weihua Jie, Li Zhang, Zaizhi Wang, Xiaoyun Liang, Qiaoping Li, Yanjie Cheng, Hongli Ren, Yongjie Fang, Suping Nie. 2017: MJO prediction using the sub-seasonal to seasonal forecast model of Beijing Climate Center. Climate Dynamics, 48(9–10), 3283–3307. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3264-7.
71. Ren, Hong-Li*, Run Wang, Panmao Zhai, Yihui Ding, Bo Lu, 2017: Upper-ocean dynamical features and prediction of the super El Niño in 2015/16: A comparison with 1982/83 and 1997/98. J. Meteor. Res., 31(2), 278–294, doi: 10.1007/s13351-017-6194-3. (任宏利*，王润，翟盘茂，丁一汇，陆波. 超强厄尔尼诺事件海洋学特征分析与预测回顾. 气象学报，2017，75(1)：1-18. doi:10.11676/qxxb2017.026.)
72. 王琳，任宏利*，陈权亮，田奔，刘颖. 基于逐步回归模态投影方法的BCC气候系统模式ENSO预报订正. 气象，2017，43(3)：294-304. doi: 10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2017.03.005.
73. 刘颖，任宏利*，张培群，贾小龙，刘向文，孙林海. 利用高原积雪信号改进我国南方夏季降水预测的新方法及其在2014年降水预测中的应用试验. 大气科学，2017，41(2)：313-320. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.1606.16104.
74. Hu, Zeng-Zhen*, Arun Kumar, Bohua Huang, Jieshun Zhu, and Hong-Li Ren, 2017: Interdecadal variations of ENSO around 1999/2000. Journal of Meteorological Research, 31(1): 73-81. doi:10.1007/s13351-017-6074-x
75. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Lianchun Song, Bo Lu, Ben Tian, Jinqing Zuo, Ying Liu, Jie Wu, Chongbo Zhao, Yu Nie, Peiqun Zhang, Jin Ba, Yujie Wu, Jianghua Wan, Yuping Yan, and Fang Zhou, 2017: Prediction of primary climate variability modes in Beijing Climate Center. Journal of Meteorological Research, 31(1): 204-223. doi: 10.1007/s13351-017-6097-3.
76. Wang, Run, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2017: The linkage between two ENSO types/modes and the interdecadal changes of ENSO around the year 2000. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 10(2), 168-174. doi:10.1080/16742834.2016.1258952.
77. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Ben Tian, and Adam A. Scaife. 2016: Distinct persistence barriers in two types of ENSO. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 10973-10979. doi:10.1002/2016GL071015.
78. Lu, Bo, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2016: Improving ENSO periodicity simulation by adjusting cumulus entrainment in BCC_CSMs. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 76, 127-140. 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2016.10.005.
79. Zhang, Wenjun, Fei-Fei Jin*, Malte F. Stuecker, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Axel Timmermann, Hong-Li Ren, Jong-Seong Kug, Wenju Cai, and Mark Cane. 2016: Unraveling El Niño’s impact on the East Asian monsoon and Yangtze River summer flooding. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 11375–11382. DOI:10.1002/2016GL071190.
80. Zuo, Jinqing, Hong-Li Ren*, Weijing Li, and Lei Wang. 2016: Interdecadal variations in the relationship between the winter North Atlantic Oscillation and temperature in south–central China. Journal of Climate, 29(20), 7477-7493. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0873.1.
81. 吴捷，任宏利*，赵崇博，张培群，武于洁. 国家气候中心MJO监测预测业务产品研发及应用．应用气象学报，2016，27(6)：641-653. doi:10.11898/1001-7313.20160601.
82. Zuo, Jinqing, Hong-Li Ren*, Bingyi Wu, and Weijing Li. 2016: Predictability of winter temperature in China from previous autumn Arctic Sea Ice, Climate Dynamics, 47(7), 2331-2343, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2966-6.
83. Wu, Jie, Hong-Li Ren*, Jinqing Zuo, Chongbo Zhao, Lijuan Chen, and Qiaoping Li. 2016: MJO prediction skill, predictability, and teleconnection impacts in the Beijing Climate Center Atmospheric General Circulation Model. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 75, 78-90, doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2016.06.001.
84. Wang, Xin, Lianchun Song, Guofu Wang, Hongli Ren, Tongwen Wu, Xiaolong Jia, Huanping Wu, Jie Wu. 2016: Operational climate prediction in the era of big data in China: reviews and prospects. Journal of Meteorological Research, 30(3): 444-456. doi: 10.1007/s13351-016-6081-3.
85. 任宏利*，刘颖，左金清，陆波，田奔，金飞飞，万江华. 国家气候中心新一代ENSO预测系统及其对2014/2016年超强厄尔尼诺事件的预测. 气象，2016，42(5)：521-531. doi:10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2016.05.001.
86. Zuo, Jinqing, Hong-Li Ren*, Jie Wu, Yu Nie, and Qiaoping Li. 2016: Subseasonal variability and predictability of the Arctic Oscillation/North Atlantic Oscillation in BCC_AGCM2.2. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 75, 33-45. doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2016.05.002.
87. 任宏利*，沈雨旸. MJO对我国天气气候影响的新事实. 气象科技进展，2016，6(3)，97-105. doi:10.3969/j.issn.2095-1973.2016.03.013.
88. Ren, Hong-Li*, Jinqing Zuo, Fei-Fei Jin, and Malte F. Stuecker. 2016: ENSO and annual cycle interaction: The combination mode representation in CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics, 46(11), 3753–3765. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2802-z.
89. 程娅蓓，任宏利，谭桂容*．东亚夏季风模式跨季预测的EOF-相似误差订正．应用气象学报，2016，27(3)：285-292．doi:10.11898/1001-7313.20160303.
90. 陈丽娟*，顾薇，丁婷，袁媛，任宏利. 2015年汛期气候预测先兆信号的综合分析. 气象，2016，42(4)：496-506. doi:10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2016.04.014.
91. Lu, Bo, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2016: SST-forced interdecadal deepening of the winter India-Burma trough since 1950s. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120, 2719–2731. doi:10.1002/2015JD024393.
92. Ren, Hong-Chang, Weijing Li*, Hong-Li Ren, and Jinqing Zuo. 2016: Distinct linkage between winter Tibetan Plateau snow depth and early summer Philippine Sea anomalous anticyclone, Atmospheric Science Letters, 17(3), 223-229. doi: 10.1002/asl.646.
93. 吴捷，许小峰*，金飞飞，任宏利. 斜压基本气流对东亚夏季风区气旋扰动低频发展影响的数值模拟研究. 地球物理学报，2016，59(4)：1222-1234. doi: 10.6038/cjg20160405.
94. Shen, Yu-yang, Hong-li Ren*, Wei-jing Li, Yu-jie Zhang, and Jin-qing Zuo. 2018: Relationship between summer low-frequency rainfall over southern China and propagation of tropical intraseasonal oscillation. Journal of Tropical Meteorology, 24(1), 92-101. doi:10.16555/j.1006-8775.2018.01.009. 沈雨旸，任宏利*，李维京，张玉洁，左金清. 我国南方夏季低频降水与热带大气季节内振荡传播的关系研究. 热带气象学报，2016，32(1)：31-41. doi:10.16032/j.issn.1004-4965.2016.01.004.
95. Ren, Hong-Li*, Jie Wu, Chong-Bo Zhao, Yan-Jie Cheng, and Xiang-Wen Liu. 2016: MJO ensemble prediction in BCC-CSM1.1(m) using different initialization schemes. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 9(1), 60-65. doi:10.1080/16742834.2015.1116217.
96. Zhao, Chongbo, Hong-Li Ren*, Lianchun Song, and Jie Wu, 2015: Madden–Julian oscillation simulated in BCC climate models. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 72, 88-101. doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2015.10.004.
97. 任宏利*，吴捷，赵崇博，刘颖，贾小龙，张培群．MJO预报研究进展．应用气象学报，2015，26(6)：658-668．doi:10.11898/1001-7313.20150602.
98. Tan, Gui-Rong*, Hong-Li Ren, and Haishan Chen. 2015: Quantifying synoptic eddy feedback onto the low-frequency flow associated with anomalous temperature events in January over China. International Journal of Climatology, 35(8), 1976-1983. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4135.
99. 李瑜，李维京*，任宏利，左金清. 我国长江中下游地区冬夏干湿韵律特征分析. 气象学报，2015，73(3)，496-504. doi:10.11676/qxxb2015.030.
100. Liu, Ying, and Hong-Li Ren*. 2015: A hybrid statistical downscaling model for prediction of winter precipitation in China. International Journal of Climatology, 35(7), 1309–1321. doi: 10.1002/joc.4058.
101. Zuo, Jinqing, Hong-Li Ren*, Weijing Li. 2015: Contrasting impacts of the Arctic Oscillation on surface air temperature anomalies in southern China between early and mid-Late winter. Journal of Climate, 28(10), 4015-4026. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00687.1.
102. Hsu, Pang-Chi*, Tim Li, Lijun You, Jianyun Gao, and Hong-Li Ren. 2015: A spatial-temporal projection model for 10-30 day rainfall forecast in South China. Climate Dynamics, 44(5-6), 1227-1244. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-22154.
103. 张玉洁，刘寿东，任宏利*，李维京，陈丽娟，张培群，左金清. 中国南方夏季低频雨型特征及其年代际变化研究. 气象学报，2014，72(6)：1205-1217. doi:10.11676/qxxb2014.075.
104. Li, Weijing*, Jingpeng Liu, Lijuan Chen, Peiqun Zhang, and Hongli Ren. 2014: Spatiotemporal distribution and decadal change of the monthly temperature predictability limit in China. Chinese Science Bulletin, 59, doi: 10.1007/s11434-014-0502-4. (李维京*，刘景鹏，陈丽娟，张培群，任宏利. 中国月平均气温可预报性的时空特征及其年代际变化. 科学通报，2014，59(25)：2520–2527)
105. 任宏利*，张培群，李维京，陈丽娟. 提高月预报业务水平的动力相似集合方法. 气象学报，2014，72(4)：723-730. doi:10.11676/qxxb2014.055.
106. Tan, Gui-Rong*, Fei-Fei Jin, Hong-Li Ren, and Zhao-Bo Sun. 2014: The role of eddy feedback in the excitation of NAO. Meteorological Applications (Meteorol. Appl.). 21(3), 768–776. doi: 10.1002/met.1415.
107. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, and Jong-Seong Kug. 2014: Eddy-induced growth rate of low-frequency variability and its mid-late winter suppression in the northern hemisphere. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 71(7), 2281-2298. doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-13-0221.1.
108. Zhao, Chongbo*, Tianjun Zhou, Lianchun Song, Hongli Ren, 2014: The Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation Simulated by 4 Chinese AGCMs Participated in CMIP5 Project, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 31(5), 1167-1180. doi: 10.1007/s00376-014-3211-7.
109. Ren, Hong-Li*, Ying Liu, Fei-Fei Jin, Yu-Ping Yan, and Xiang-Wen Liu. 2014: Application of the analogue-based correction of errors method in ENSO prediction. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 7(2), 157–161. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1674-2834.13.0080.
110. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Malte F. Stuecker, and Ruihuang Xie. 2013: ENSO regime change since the late 1970s as manifested by two types of ENSO. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 91(6), 835-842. doi:10.2151/jmsj.2013-608.
111. Zhang, Wenjun, Fei-Fei Jin, Jing-Xia Zhao, Li Qi and Hong-Li Ren, 2013: The possible influence of a nonconventional El Niño on the severe autumn drought of 2009 in Southwest China. Journal of Climate, 26(21), 8392–8405. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00851.1.
112. Ren, Hong-Li*, and Fei-Fei Jin, 2013: Recharge oscillator mechanisms in two types of ENSO. J. Climate, 26(17), 6506-6523. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00601.1.
113. Stuecker, Malte F.*, Axel Timmermann, Fei-Fei Jin*, Shayne McGregor, and Hong-Li Ren. 2013: A Combination Mode of Annual Cycle and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Nature Geoscience, 6, 540-544. doi: 10.1038/ngeo1826.
114. 左金清, 李维京, 任宏利. CMIP5模式对北极涛动的模拟评估. 气候变化研究进展, 2013, 9(3): 157-164. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-1719.2013.03.001. (Zuo, Jin-Qing, Wei-Jing Li, and Hong-Li Ren. 2013: Representation of the Arctic Oscillation in the CMIP5 models. Advances in Climate Change Research, 4(4): 242-249. doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1248.2013.242.)
115. Zuo Jinqing, Li Weijing, Sun Chenghu, Xu Li, and Ren Hong-Li. The impact of North Atlantic sea surface temperature tripole on the East Asian summer monsoon. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2013, 30(4), 1173-1186. doi:10.1007/s00376-012-2125-5.
116. Xie, Ruihuang, Fei Huang and Hongli Ren. 2013: Subtropical air-sea interaction and the development of central Pacific El Niño. Journal of Ocean University of China. 12(2): 260-271. doi:10.1007/ s11802-013-2143-7.
117. Hu, Zeng-Zhen, Arun Kumar, Hong-Li Ren, Hui Wang, Michelle L’Heureux, and Fei-Fei Jin, 2013: Weakened interannual variability in the tropical Pacific Ocean since 2000. J. Climate, 26 (8), 2601-2613. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00265.1.
118. Zhang, Wenjun, Fei-Fei Jin, Hong-Li Ren, Jianping Li, Jing-Xia Zhao, 2012: Differences in teleconnection over the North Pacific and rainfall shift over the USA associated with two types of El Niño during boreal autumn. J. Meteor. Soc. Jap., 90(4), 535-552. DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2012-407.
119. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Li Gao. 2012: Anatomy of synoptic eddy–NAO interaction through eddy-structure decomposition. J. Atmos. Sci., 69(7), 2171-2191. doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-069.1.
120. 左金清, 李维京, 任宏利, 陈丽娟. 春季北大西洋涛动与东亚夏季风年际关系的转变及其可能成因分析. 地球物理学报, 2012, 55(2): 384-395, doi: 10.6038/j.issn.0001-5733.2012.02.003. Zuo Jin-Qing, Li Wei-Jing, Ren Hong-Li, Chen Li-Juan, 2012: Change of the relationship between the spring NAO and East Asian summer monsoon and its possible mechanism. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 55(1), 23-34. 10.1002/cjg2.1697.
121. 谭桂容, 段浩, 任宏利. 中高纬度地区500 hPa高度场动力预测统计订正. 应用气象学报，2012，23(3)：304-311.
122. Ren, Hong-Li and Fei-Fei Jin*. 2011: Niño indices for two types of ENSO, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L04704, doi:10.1029/2010GL046031.
123. Zhang, Wenjun, Fei-Fei Jin, Jianping Li, Hong-Li Ren, 2011: Contrasting impacts of two-type El Niño over the western north Pacific during boreal autumn. J. Meteor. Soc. Jap., 89(5), 563-569. 10.2151/jmsj.2011-510.
124. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Jong-Seong Kug, Li Gao. 2011: Transformed eddy-PV flux and positive synoptic eddy feedback onto low-frequency flow. Clim. Dyn., 36(11), 2357-2370, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0913-0. (Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Jong-Seong Kug, Li Gao. 2011: Erratum to: Transformed eddy-PV flux and positive synoptic eddy feedback onto low-frequency flow. Clim. Dyn., 37: 1689. DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1122-1)
125. Duan, Hao, Guirong Tan, and Hong-Li Ren. 2011: Statistical correction for model prediction on winter circulation in the extra-tropical of Northern Hemisphere. IEEE, 1367-1370. 10.1109/ICIST.2011.5765091. Collection of International Conference on Information Science and Technology (ICIST), March 26-28, 2011 Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
126. 左金清, 王介民, 黄建平, 李维京, 王国印, 任宏利. 半干旱草地地表土壤热通量的计算及其对能量平衡的影响. 高原气象, 2010, 29(4): 840-848.
127. Kug, Jong-Seong, Fei-Fei Jin, and Hong-Li Ren. 2010: Role of Synoptic eddies on low-frequency precipitation variation. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D19115. doi:10.1029/2009JD013675.
128. Kug, Jong-Seong, Fei-Fei Jin, Ju-Hyun Park, Hong-Li Ren, and In-Sik Kang. 2010: A general rule for synoptic-eddy feedback onto the low-frequency flow. Clim. Dyn., 35, 1011-1026. DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0606-8.
129. Kug, Jong-Seong, Da-Hee Choi, Fei-Fei Jin, Won-Tae Kwon, and Hong-Li Ren, 2010: Role of synoptic eddy feedback on polar climate responses to the anthropogenic forcing. Geophys Res. Lett., 37, L14704, doi:10.1029/2010GL043673.
130. 郑志海, 封国林, 丑纪范, 任宏利. 数值预报中自由度的压缩及误差相似性规律. 应用气象学报, 2010，21(2): 139-148.
131. 许晓光，李维京，任宏利*，张培群. T63L16气候模式预报能力的空间尺度分布研究. 气象学报，2009，67(6): 992-1001.
132. Ren, Hong-Li*, Fei-Fei Jin, Jong-Seong Kug, Jing-Xia Zhao, Juhyun Park. 2009: A kinematic mechanism for positive feedback between synoptic eddies and NAO. Geophy. Res. Lett., 36, L11709, doi:10.1029/2009GL037294.
133. 郑志海、任宏利*、黄建平. 基于季节气候可预报分量的相似误差订正方法和数值实验. 物理学报，2009，58(10)：7359~7367.
134. Zuo Jin-Qing, Ren Hong-Li*, Li Wei-Jing, Zhang Pei-Qun and Yang Ming-Zhu. Intraseasonal characteristics of the water vapor transport associated with the low-frequency rainfall regimes over Southern China in summer. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 2009, 52(5): 922-935. (左金清、任宏利*、李维京、张培群、杨明珠. 我国南方夏季低频雨型的季节内水汽输送特征. 地球物理学报，2009，52(9): 2210～2221. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0001-5733.2009.09.004.)
135. Ren Hongli*, Chou Jifan, Huang Jianping, and Zhang Peiqun. Theoretical basis and application of analogue-dynamical model in the Lorenz system. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2009, 26(1), 67-77, doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0067-3.
136. 任宏利*. 动力季节预测中预报误差与物理因子的关系. 应用气象学报，2008，19(3)：276~286.
137. Ren Hongli*. 2008: Predictor-based error correction method in short-term climate prediction. Progress in Natural Sciences, 18(1): 129-135. doi: 10.1016/j.pnsc.2007.08.003. [任宏利*. 短期气候预测中基于预报因子的误差订正方法研究. 自然科学进展，2007，17(12)：1651~1656.]
138. 任宏利*，封国林，张培群. 论动力相似预报的物理基础问题. 地球科学进展，2007，22(10)：1027~1035.
139. Ren, Hongli*, Jifan Chou. Strategy and methodology of dynamical analogue prediction. Science in China Series D: Earth Sciences, 2007, 50(10): 1589-1599. [任宏利*，丑纪范. 动力相似预报的策略和方法研究. 中国科学 D辑：地球科学，2007，37(8)：1101~1109.]
140. 任宏利*，丑纪范. 数值模式的预报策略和方法研究进展. 地球科学进展，2007，22(4)：376~385
141. 孙丞虎*，李维京，任宏利，张培群，王冬艳. 一个ENSO动力-相似误差订正模式及其后报初检验. 大气科学，2006，30(5)：965~976.
142. 任宏利，张培群*，李维京，丑纪范. 基于多个参考态更新的动力相似预报方法及应用. 物理学报，2006，55(8)：4388~4396.
143. 任宏利*，丑纪范. 在动力相似预报中引入多个参考态的更新. 气象学报，2006，64(3)：315~324.
144. Ren Hongli, Zhang Peiqun*, Chou Jifan, Li Weijing, Gao Li. Large-scale low-frequency rainfall regimes and their transition modes in summertime over China. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2006, 51(11): 1355-1367. [任宏利，张培群*，丑纪范，李维京，高丽. 中国夏季大尺度低频雨型及其转换模. 科学通报，2005，50(24)：2790~2799.]
145. 丑纪范，任宏利. 数值天气预报——另类途径的必要性和可行性. 应用气象学报，2006，17(2)：240~244.
146. Gao Li, Ren Hongli*, Li Jianping and Chou Jifan. Analogue correction method of errors and its application to numerical weather prediction. Chinese Physics, 2006, 15(4): 882-889.
147. Ren Hongli*, Chou Jifan. Analogue correction method of errors by combining statistical and dynamical methods. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 2006, 20(3): 367-373. [任宏利*，丑纪范. 统计动力相结合的相似误差订正法. 气象学报，2005，63(6)：988~993.]
148. 任宏利*，张培群，李维京，高丽. 西北区东部春季降水及其水汽输送的低频振荡特征. 高原气象，2006，25(2): 285~292.
149. Gao Li*, Li Jianping, Ren Hongli. Some characteristics of the atmosphere during an adiabatic process. Progress in Natural Sciences, 2006, 16(6): 644-648. [高丽*，李建平，任宏利. 绝热大气过程的若干性质. 自然科学进展，2006，16(2)：243~247.]
150. Ren Hongli*, Gao Li, Zhang Peiqun, Li Weijing. Further study on identifying anomalous large-scale rainfall regimes in phase space. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 2006, 20(1): 62-71. [任宏利*，高丽，张培群，李维京. 相空间中划分大尺度异常雨型的进一步研究. 气象学报，2005，63(2)：216~224.]
151. 任宏利*，张培群，郭秉荣，丑纪范. 预报副高脊面变化的动力模型及其简化数值试验. 大气科学，2005，29(1)：71~78.
152. 任宏利*，高丽，张培群，李维京. 相空间中划分大尺度异常雨型的初步研究. 气象学报，2004，62(4)：459~467.
153. 任宏利*，张培群，李维京，高丽. 中国西北东部地区春季降水及其水汽输送特征. 气象学报，2004，62(3)：365~374.
154. Ren Hongli, Wang Chenghai, Qiu Chongjian and Chou Jifan. A study of calculating surface flux in the typical arid region of Northwest China by a variational method, Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2004, 28(3): 285-294. [任宏利，王澄海，邱崇践，丑纪范. 利用变分法计算西北典型干旱区地表通量的研究. 大气科学,2004，28(2)：269~277.]
155. 任宏利*，戴新刚，丑纪范. Lorenz系统混沌解序列可预报性的统计检验. 兰州大学学报(自然科学版)，2003，39(1)：93~98.

报刊文章：
任宏利，张培群. 冷静看待持续的厄尔尼诺“热”. 中国气象报，2014年8月26日，第三版.

专著：
任宏利，孙丞虎，袁媛，陆波，田奔，万江华，左金清，刘颖，韩荣青，贾小龙，刘长征. 厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜事件判别方法. 中华人民共和国气象行业标准QX/T 370—2017，2017年3月，气象出版社，P6.
任宏利，孙丞虎，任福民，袁媛，陆波，田奔，左金清，刘颖，曹璐，韩荣青，贾小龙，刘长征. 厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜事件判别方法. 中华人民共和国国家标准GB/T 33666—2017，2017年5月，中国标准出版社，P6.

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